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<record>
  <title>A hybrid approach for predicting Value at Risk Estimation</title>
  <journal>International Journal of Information Studies</journal>
  <author>Mohamed El Ghourabi, Amira Dridi, Fedya Telmoudi</author>
  <volume>3</volume>
  <issue>2</issue>
  <year>2000</year>
  <doi></doi>
  <url>https://www.dline.info/ijis/fulltext/v3n2/ijisv3n2_2.pdf</url>
  <abstract>Financial crises are perceived as shocking events, several researchers concentrated on the identification of
stressed and stable periods in order to take strategic decisions on time. In this paper, a new hybrid approach is proposed
to deal with the prediction of the Value at Risk (VaR). Based on financial variables from bankâ€™s balance sheets as input
data , this approach integrate Rough Set Theory (RST), Gaussian Case Based Reasoning- clustering (GCBR-Clustering),
Real valued Genetic Algorithm (RGA) with Support Vector Machines (SVM) in order to classify stressed and non stressed
periods and therefore determine the VaR . The RST-GCBR Clustering-RGASVM combination is justified by a high accuracy
rate which reaches 96.551% in cluster 1and 100% in cluster 2.</abstract>
</record>
